Overall, confidence in the $628 billion equipment finance sector is 62.1, up slightly from the March index of 61.7, and the fourth consecutive month of increases, according to the Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation’s (the Foundation) April 2012 Monthly Confidence Index for the Equipment Finance Industry.
When asked about the outlook for the future, MCI survey respondent Thomas Jaschik, President, BB&T Equipment Finance commented, “While the business climate has definitely improved over the last 18 months, American companies are still very cautious with respect to the growth and expansion of their businesses. As they feel more confident in expansion, our market will grow as well.”
When asked to assess their business conditions over the next four months, 23.5% of executives responding said they believe business conditions will improve over the next four months, down from 28.9% in March. 76.5% of respondents believe business conditions will remain the same over the next four months, up from 71.1% in March. No one responded they believe business conditions will worsen, unchanged from the previous month.
23.5% of survey respondents believe demand for leases and loans to fund capital expenditures (capex) will increase over the next four months, a decrease from 34.2% in March. 76.5% believe demand will “remain the same” during the same four-month time period, up from 65.8% the previous month. No one responded they believe demand will decline, unchanged from March.
26.5% of executives expect more access to capital to fund equipment acquisitions over the next four months, up from 21.1% in March. 73.5% of survey respondents indicate they expect the “same” access to capital to fund business, a decrease from 78.9% the previous month. No survey respondents expect “less” access to capital, unchanged from March.
When asked, 32.4% of the executives reported they expect to hire more employees over the next four months, up from 28.9% in March. 67.6% expect no change in headcount over the next four months, an increase from 63.2% last month, while no one expects fewer employees, down from 7.9% in March.
88.2% of the leadership evaluates the current U.S. economy as “fair,” down from 89.5% last month. 11.8% rate it as “poor,” up from 10.5% in March.
29.4% of survey respondents believe that U.S. economic conditions will get “better” over the next six months, down from 31.6% in March. 70.6% of survey respondents indicate they believe the U.S. economy will “stay the same” over the next six months, up from 63.2% in March. No one responded that they believe economic conditions in the U.S. will worsen over the next six months, a decrease from 5.3% who believed so last month.
In April, 35.3% of respondents indicate they believe their company will increase spending on business development activities during the next six months, up from 28.9% in March. 64.7% believe there will be “no change” in business development spending, down from 77.1% last month, and no one believes there will be a decrease in spending, unchanged from last month.
Survey Comments from Industry Executive Leadership:
Depending on the market segment they represent, executives have differing points of view on the current and future outlook for the industry.
Independent, Micro Ticket
“The small/micro ticket segment is starting to see some lift in demand. The question that still remains is, will it have legs given the absence in income growth for the individual consumer and the failure of our political system to resolve economic structural problems?” Paul Menzel, President and CEO, Financial Pacific Leasing, LLC
Bank, Middle Ticket
“Recovery is slow going but positive economic trends are still encouraging and will continue to enhance the equipment finance industry.” Kenneth Collins, CEO, Susquehanna Commercial Finance, Inc.
Independent, Large Ticket
“It [the equipment finance industry] needs to survive another tough year, including an election.” Executive, Independent, Large Ticket